The next UFC card. The whole market, one screen.

We used to publish a model forecast for every fight. We tested whether that forecast beat the price the market was offering. It did not — our own benchmark has the engine landing inside a few points of the closing line without ever seeing one, which is a respectable model and is not an advantage you can bet. So in September 2026 the forecast came off the public product. Nothing was deleted: the engine still runs, still writes a locked record before every bell, and is still graded in the open on the Proof Center, wins and losses at the same size. If it ever earns its way back onto the card, the evidence will be published before the number is.

What replaced it is what we were confident in all along: the market itself. Sportsbook prices, captured on a schedule, stored with their source and timestamp and never overwritten — so we can show you what a line was, what it is, and what moved in between. Alongside it the Factor Lab, which tests the fight stats everyone cites and reports which ones still hold up once you control for what the betting market already knew. Most of them do not, and it says so.