Market Lab

The UFC market, one board.

Every sportsbook we track, on every fight of the card. The vig-free consensus, the best number on each side and who is posting it, how far the line has travelled since we first saw it priced by three or more sportsbooks — measured only across the books quoting then and now — and over the last 24 hours, and how far apart the books are right now.

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What changed in the last 24 hours

Fights whose vig-free consensus has moved at least a point since this time yesterday. A move tells you the market revised its price; it does not tell you the new price is wrong, and it is not a signal to follow.

The board

Open a row to see every book's current quote on that fight. Best price is the best American number in the data, and nothing else decides that ordering — CFL takes no sportsbook money to move a book up this board.
How to read it. "Consensus" is the median across sportsbooks of each book's own de-vigged price — the book's margin removed, so it reads as a probability rather than a payout. "Market move" compares that consensus to our first broad capture — the first time we had the fight priced by three or more sportsbooks at once — and it uses only the books quoting at both ends. That matters: on most cards we see one book before we see six, and comparing one book then against six now would report the arrival of five sportsbooks as a market move. Where fewer than three books line up on both ends we print a dash and say so, rather than a number we could not defend. Open a row to see the books it used. We do not call this an opener, because we have never seen one: our record starts when we start watching. Prices are the last we captured, not live quotes. Always check the sportsbook before you act on anything here.

What this becomes

Market Lab is the part of Cannon Fight Lab we are building out first. Everything on this page is free and stays free. The work queued behind it is the tooling a researcher would keep open through fight week:

None of that is behind a paywall today, because none of it is built yet. When it is, the free board above does not shrink to make room for it.